Public Debt Policy Effectiveness in Enabling Sustainable Development in Central Asia

Almagul Mukhamediyeva

doi:10.52536/3006-807X.2025-4.003

Авторлар

Алмагүл Мұхамедиева «Парасат» білім беру орталығы, Қазақстан Автор https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1138-9763

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52536/3006-807X.2025-4.003

Кілт сөздер:

сыртқы мемлекеттік борыш, тұрақты даму, Орталық Азия

Аңдатпа

Біріккен Ұлттар Ұйымының 2030 жылға дейінгі Орнықты даму жөніндегі күн тәртібінен елеулі артта қалу аясында болып жатқан мемлекеттік борыштың өсуі мемлекеттік борыш саясатының тиімділігін зерттеуді өзектендіреді. Осыған орай, бұл зерттеуде Орталық Азия елдерінің мысалында мемлекеттік борыштық саясаттың орнықты дамуға әсері айқындалады. Тұрақты эффект пен жалған айнымалы регрессия әдісі және модераторлардың регрессиялық талдау әдісі 1996-2023 жылдардағы панельдік деректер негізінде борышты қаржыландыру мен тұрақты даму бағыттары арасындағы байланысты айқындау үшін қолданылады. Зерттеу нәтижелеріне сәйкес, сыртқы мемлекеттік борыш экономикалық, әлеуметтік және институционалдық дамуға үлес қосып, қоршаған ортаға зиянды әсер етеді. Сонымен қатар, борышты қаржыландырудың әсері мемлекеттік саясаттың нәтижелілігіне байланысты өзгеріп, синергетикалық, жіберіп алынған және қарама-қайшы әсерлерді тудырады. Осындай саяси компаға келу кезінде фискалдық негіз мен ережелердің орнықты даму қағидаттарына сәйкестігін қамтамасыз ету, қарыз ресурстарын стратегиялық инвестициялауды енгізу және орнықты даму басымдықтарына сәйкес келетін мемлекеттік борыш есебінен қаржыландырылған жобалардың іске асырылуын бағалау өлшемшарттарын қолдану орынды болады.

Автор өмірбаяны

Алмагүл Мұхамедиева, «Парасат» білім беру орталығы, Қазақстан

PhD, Мемлекеттік саясат және басқару, Халықаралық консультант, Кеңесші (штаттан тыс), «Парасат» білім беру орталығы, Қазақстан

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