Water Scarcity Dynamics in Central Asia: Implications For Regional Stability

Seilbek  Mussatayev; Nurlan Muminov; Zhassulan Orynbayev

doi:10.52536/3006-807X.2024-4.002

Authors

Seilbek Mussatayev Professor of the Department of PolitAl-Farabi Kazakh National University, Kazakhstan Author https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6955-5432
Nurlan Muminov Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Kazakhstan Author https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7824-7044
Zhassulan Orynbayev Senior Lecturer of the Department of International RelaM.Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Kazakhstan Author https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8401-1839

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52536/3006-807X.2024-4.002

Keywords:

water scarcity, Central Asia, climate change, geopolitical tensions, regional cooperation

Abstract

This article explores the dynamics of water scarcity in the Central Asian region and its implications for regional stability. It discusses how global environmental disasters and crises affect climate patterns and freshwater availability, emphasizing the critical shortage of fresh water anticipated soon. The research findings highlight water scarcity’s significant challenges, threatening social stability and potentially leading to geopolitical conflicts. Central Asia is identified as particularly vulnerable due to its limited water resources, which could exacerbate existing tensions and hinder regional development. It underscores the need for regional cooperation in managing water resources and implementing effective policies to mitigate the risks associated with water scarcity. Additionally, it predicts that population growth will worsen water scarcity in the region, intensifying interstate conflicts over water and energy resources. The article aims to thoroughly analyze water scarcity as a critical issue for regional stability.

Author Biographies

Seilbek Mussatayev, Professor of the Department of PolitAl-Farabi Kazakh National University, Kazakhstan

Professor of the Department of Political Science and Political Technologies, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University
Nurlan Muminov, Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Kazakhstan

Research Associate at the Eurasian Research Institute, Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University
Zhassulan Orynbayev, Senior Lecturer of the Department of International RelaM.Auezov South Kazakhstan University, Kazakhstan

Senior Lecturer of the Department of International Relations and International Law, M.Auezov South Kazakhstan University

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